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Saturday, July 1, 2023

Climate signals: June 2023 heat records. We have a climate emergency

Have you been watching earth's vital signs recently. I have. They are very concerning. But minimal mainstream reporting of all the signals and temperature records being broken.

Jeff Berardelli, Florida based WFLA News Channel 8’s Chief Meteorologist and Climate Specialist described the situation:

"In my 3 decade-long career being a weather forecaster, and now Chief Meteorologist and Climate Specialist, I have never observed so many of Earth’s vital signs blinking red. Meteorologists and climate scientists all around the world are in awe by the simultaneous literal “off the charts” records being broken. Yes, it’s climate change."

Let us start with this twitter thread by Assaad Razzouk (@AssaadRazzouk)


1. North Atlantic temperature: FAIL

"North Atlantic Ocean is way beyond record hot right now. The kind of heat that would only be found once in 10s or 100s of thousands of years in a climate before human-caused warming took hold"


2. Global Ocean Temperatures: FAIL

"the heat [is] basically statistically impossible before human-caused warming existed. The black line below indicates this year’s sea surface temperature departure (about 4 standard deviations above normal) which is far above records"


3. Antarctic Sea Ice: FAIL

"Departures from normal are the highest ever observed, at a very surprising time of year given that it’s winter there"


The Antarctic sea ice extent rubber band has snapped. Via Professor Eliot  Jacobson on Twitter  : 

“It finally happened, breaking 5 sigma, the same statistical threshold physicists used to prove the existence of the Higgs boson.

"At 2,700,000 km² below the 1991-2020 mean, Antarctic sea ice extent was 5.14σ below the mean, roughly a 1-in-7,400,000 chance.”



4. Global Sea Ice: FAIL

"Global sea ice to be at record departures from normal levels"


5. Canadian Wildfires: FAIL

"Canada has experienced its worst wildfire season on record in terms of burning area, fire size, and intensity. As the climate warms, areas dry, and fires spread more vigorously"


6. Deforestation: FAIL

"An area the size of Switzerland was cleared from Earth’s most pristine rainforests in 2022, despite promises by world leaders to halt their destruction, new figures show"


7. Heat Domes: FAIL

US caught in pincer movement between toxic fumes from Canadian wildfires in the north and a massive heat dome expanding beyond Texas in the South



8. Global extreme heating: FAIL

a. Hundreds of records broken in Siberia

b. Hundreds more broken in Japan

c. And hundreds more broken in China

d. Dozens of records broken in Spain, Portugal, Iran

e. New records across Oceania

9. Marine Heatwaves increasing

Global: NOAA says that 50% of the world’s ocean may experience marine heatwave conditions by September, experimental forecast predicts! (NOAA, 28 June 2023)  Global ocean roiled by marine heatwaves, with more on the way

UK and Ireland: Meanwhile the UK and Ireland experiencing a severe marine heatwave with Ocean water temperatures   over 5 degrees Celsius above long-term averages for this part of the year, sparking concerns of marine life die-off later this year. The Guardian, 19 June 2023, ‘Unheard of’ marine heatwave off UK and Irish coasts poses serious threat


Below is a selection of the posts from June from Climatologist & Weather Historian M. Herrera who posts on twitter at @Extemetemps

Temperature records for June

China setting Temperature records via @ExtremeTemps (Link)


June 23 China: "All time records high in China 

  • 41.8 Tanghekouzhen 
  • 41.2 Huairou
  • 41.1 Zhaitang
  • 40.6 Miyun
  • 34.4 Foye Peak
  • 41.8 Dagang
  • 41.5 Tianjin 
  • 41.1 Sigi
  • 40.9 Wu Qing
  • 41.6 Beichen
  • 41.4 Langfang
  • 40.8 Gu'an
  • 40.2 Zunhua
  • 41.3 Wudi
  • 40.8 Yang Xin
  • 39.2 Jimo
  • 41.7 Shandong 
  • 41.4 Xianghe
  • 40.4 Tamada"
China June 2 - "China Record heat wave , below the stations which broke or tied the records of its highest temperature in climatic history yesterday. Temperatures at high elevations are near WORLD RECORDS,specially between 2000m and 3500m asl."


June 1 China - "Endless record heat in China with temperatures above 43C at 900m asl 24 more stations had their hottest day in history and 62 broke their monthly records. Nearly 1000 records in 4 days in China in this monster heat wave,among the most intense one-shot heat wave the world has seen"

Hong Kong Jun 3 - "May 2023 in Hong Kong had an average temperature of 26.6C which is 0.3C above normal. The monthly rainfall was 182.8 millimetres, about 37 percent below the normal. On 31 May the Min. temperature was 29.6C, the highest min. on records (POR 140+ years). (link)

June 2 - HongKong, South East Asia - "More Extreme Weather in SE Asia. Hottest June day in History in Hong Kong with 37.9C at Sheng Shui. Endless record heat in Thailand (10 weeks breaking records almost daily)

Records high for June
40.0C Tung Chang 
39.5C Tha wang Pha

Japan with extreme deluges and record rainfalls"

Siberia temperature records (Link)


June 8 Siberia: "Record event in #Siberia in its worst heat wave in history. Dozens of records fell, the most important all time records today: (Link)

  • 39.6 Baevo 
  • 38.5 Barnaul
  • 38.1 Ordynskoe tie
  • 37.3 Novosibirsk
  • 37.2 Toguchin
  • 36.4 Mariinsk
  • 36.1 Masljanino tie
  • 35.6 Tomsk tie
  • 35.4 Tjuhtet
  • 35.1 Bogotol"
June 6 Siberia: "More brutal heat from Siberia, records fall by dozens. The most important today: (link)

All time records

Majsk 37.1 
Severnoe 35.7 
Pervomajskoe 35.6 

June records 

Zdvinsk 37.1
Pudino 36.3 
Kystovka 36.1 
Kreschenka 35.8 
Bakchar 35.9 
Tara 35.8 
Kolyvan 35.6 
Kolpasevo 34.5"

June 5 Siberia: "Insane heat event ongoing in Siberia with dozens records obliterated every day and will get worse.

36.1C Alexandrovskoe  all time record lat 60N !
34.9C Laryak all time record

June records:

37.0C Vikulovo 
36.6C Zdvinsk 
35.1C Tara 
35.2C Pudino  (tie)
34.8C Kreschenka"

June 4 Siberia - "World climatic history writes a new incredible page today with an extreme heat wave in #Siberia Temperatures exceeded 38C between lat 55N/57N.

38.3C Kurgan 
37.9C Jalturovosk   hottest day in history ! (for any month)  
36.8C Tjumen  June  record
36.2C Vikulovo  June record
etc"

June 3 Siberia  "Extreme heat wave in Siberia

Crazy temperatures day and night

38.1C Zabelovka lat 52
36.7C Kurgan lat. 55
36.4C Isim  lat 56
35.7C Majsk lat 57
34.3C Novyj Vasyugan lat. 58 after a tropical night 

Even more insane Makusino lat 55N Tmin 23.1C Tmax 35.6C"
 

Hokkaido, Japan... (Link)


June 27 Japan: "Another heat wave in Japan with June records broken:
35.7C Inukai
35.0C MIkado

In the past 2 years ,every single month has witnessed heat records broken in Japan,in some months several hundreds. Map by JMA." (link)


June 3 Japan - "May 2023 in #Japan had a temperature anomaly of +0.55C above average.
Spring was exceptional with an anomaly of +1.59C ,it was the warmest spring on records.
In 3 months, nearly 1000 records of highest temperatures fell in Japan, almost 0 of lowest temperature." (link)

"According to JMA, Japan experienced its WARMEST SPRING since records started in 1898, with the average #temperature for the March-to-May period being 1.59℃ higher than normal.  The further north you go, the more noticeable the difference above the average becomes!!


Vietnam June 2 - "SE Asia Heat Wave: 13th week of the most brutal never ending heat wave the world has ever seen. Yesterday 1 June #Vietnam recorded its hottest June day in history with 43.8C at Muong La. In Laos and Thailand June records tied at:

37.3C Luang Namtha 37.3C
39.5C Nong Khai"


Tuvalu: " Funafuti rose further to 34.6C, beating once again the national record of highest temperature for June." (Link)


June 26: "Solomon Islands did it again. Yesterday 25 June the Honiara Int. Airport rose to 35.1C which is the highest temperature ever recorded in the country in June. Solomon Islands have never recorded a cooler than average month after September 2015 and most months beat heat records ". (link)

June 25; "New Zealand between record warmth and deluges. On 23 June in the West coast of South Island,Hokitika with 20.2C and Westport with 19.6C broke their records of highest temperatures for June. Heavy rains are ongoing these days." (link)

June 7 New Zealand: "May 2023 was New Zealand's warmest May on record since records began in 1909 🤒. The nationwide 2˚C difference from average was the largest in any month since January 2018. The May 2023 average temperature was closer to what is expected during April! NIWA Climate Summary for May 2023"

June 2 Oceania - "Incredible warmth in all Oceania ! 

New Zealand:

  • 24.0C at Hastings,only 1.4°C below the June national record. 
  • 18.5C in Wellington -monthly record

Australia

11 monthly records, including 24.5C Tamworth (long POR).

Tuvalu

33.9C Funafuti  National record high for June tied !"

June 1 New Zeal;and - "New Zealand beats records every month and it' didn t waste any time to beat the first record of June. Exceptional 20.8C at Dunedin Airport today , the warmest June day on records".


US Heat Wave was fierce today in several southern states with stifling humid heat. (link)


June 3 Canada - "May 2023 in #Canada was historic: Record heat swept the country the whole month. The East started cool and ended near or just below average. In the West many stations had their warmest May on records with anomalies between +1C and +6C. Exceptional.



Spain and Portugal..."Portugal again !  Record heat wave in Algarve. Today Faro rose to an exceptional 38.9C,destroying its record of the hottest June day on records. In the past days more than 20 records fell in Spain too including the highest June Tmins of Valencia with 25.0C and Tarifa with 23.3C" (link)


Europe: June 16 - "Big contrasts in Europe: Exceptional 33.9C at Galsvik, hottest Norwegian day ever recorded in the first half of June. More June Records in Scotland:23.2C at Baltasound (Shetland). Hot in Spain:38.0C. Very cool and rainy in the Balkans and Italy. (link)

Scotland June 14 - "Incredible record day yesterday 13 June in #Scotland. 10 stations had their warmest June day on records, including 3 with long POR:

  • 28.8 Lossiemouth 
  • 28.5 West Freugh
  • 27.4 Machrinhanish
  • 23.2C Bealach Na Ba, record for any month (POR 2001-) !" (link)

Middle East...June 29 "Middle East Heat is not weakening, just the opposite. Always impressive temperatures at high elevations in Iran highlands (with some world records beaten too). Today 47.2C at Khor at 920m asl. Night minimum temperatures are locally >30C even above 1500m asl. Really brutal." (link)


June 22 Iran: "The Heat is reaching exaggerated levels in #Iran. 50.8C today at Zabol, new world 2023 highest temperature and new record for the town. Crazy hot at high elevations:
  • Bam 920m   Tmin 34.9 !  Tmax 46.4
  • 44.1C Saravan 1195m 
  • 43.1C Zahedan 1370m  
  • 49.0C at Nokkundi in Pakistan"
June 3 Israel - "Record heat wave in #Israel: Temperature reached 45.3C at Tszivi Station below sea level but also 43.8C at Beit Dagan which is a new record for June (43.7C 8 June 2002) Also 42.8C at Tel Aviv AP. The hot winds of khamsin coming from Egypt where temperature reached 45C at Aburdees" (link)




June 6 Central Asia: "Record heat wave in Central Asia with 43C in Uzbekistan,41C in Kazakhstan and again >37C in Siberia. Pervomajskoe with 35.8C beat its all time record again! (link)

June records
  • Mariinsk 35.4
  • Bakchar 36.2
  • Kreschenka 35.9
  • Zmeinogorsk 36.2
  • Toguchin 36.1
  • Novokuznetsk 35.2
  • Kemerovos 35.1"

June 27 Morocco: "Historic day yesterday in #Morocco. Temperature rose to a brutal 48.5C at Sidi Slimane ,by far the hottest June day in Moroccoan history. More records destroyed:
47.0C Taroudant
46.3C Rabat-Salé 
46.3C Kenitra 
45.4C Nouasseur 
45.2C Settat

More records coming...." (link)

June 25 - "Winter warm spell in South America:
Temperatures reached >35C in Paraguay and 33.0C in Argentina today.
Tinogasta located at 1200m asl rose to 33C.
Reconquista with 32.0C missed its record by 0.2C.
The next 3 days the heat can further increase and some records for June can fall." (link)

June 23 Austria - "Absolutely mind blowing heat record in Austria: just before MIDNIGHT Oberndorf with fohn effect rose to 36.1C beating its monthly heat record. It's one of the highest temperatures ever recorded in Europe at midnight and one of the very few cases a record is broken night time. (link)

June 14 - South Africa - "Never ending heat in Southern Africa. Record heat conditions have been ongoing for weeks and records fall nearly every day. Today again over 33C in South Africa and over 34c Mozambique. Quelimane con 34.4C had its hottest June day on records." (link)

June 6 - Southern Arica - "Endless record heat in Southern Africa: Today Mauritius is rising >33C for the first time on records in June, after rising >32C for the first time always at Agalega Island.
Record heat has been persistent for months." (Link)

"Mauritius 
32.9 Agalega  New June national record !

Zambia
33.1 Sesheke
32.6 Mongu 

South Africa
34.9 Thohoyandou
34.7 Levubu 
34.6 Hoedspruit
34.3 Punda Maria 
33.3 Mara 
31.9 Ellisras 
30.3 Towoomba"

June 2 Botswana - "New month,new record.... Hottest June day on records in Botswana with 33.9C at Mababe today. Next days Zambia,Zimbabwe,Mauritius and perhaps Madagascar,Malawi and Mozambique cal also beat historic records for June. Southern Hemisphere must wait to see any trace of winter..."

June 21 Mexico - "More insane heat in #Mexico: In world climatic history perhaps only Chinese 2022 summer heat wave stands at this level

Today Monclova with 46.3C beat its all time record again. Hottest day in history for Chihuahua with 41.8C. The heat is spreading to Sonora where will see 50C"

June 17 Mexico - "June records are falling allover Mexico except the NW,including all main cities:DF,Guadalajara,Queretaro,Campeche,Merida,Pachuca,Torreon,Zacatecas,S.L. Potosi,Durango,etc
Some of which are all time records. Also Highest Tmins:Chetumal hasn't dropped <29C for 5 consecutive days"

"Among the main stations which also broke their all time records of highest temperatures for any month are included Guadalajara,Zacatecas,Guanajuato and Lagos de Moreno,some of which were beaten for more days since last week(s). Others beat their all time record of highest Tmins"

"Some records have been beaten by huge margins, up to 4C/5C some monthly records and even 3C/4C some all time records like that of La Bufa. Records were beaten up to 5 times so far with still 7/8 days to go with this insane heat wave."

"Temperatures at high elevations have been mind blowing in many cases:
44C at 1400m in Nuevo Leon State, 40C at 2000m in Zacatecas,Jalisco,Durango and Aguascalientes, 38C at 2300m in Jalisco Only few Asian countries+Bolivia have ever seen such temperatures at those elevations"





June 16 Honduras/Caribbean - "Caribbeans Honduras is also living the worst heat wave in its history:
Yesterday the June record of Trujillo was broken with 38.0C. Temperatures have been abnormal and unprecedented for weeks in all Caribbeans,including Central America Caribbean coast.

June 7 Caribbean - "Record heat allover the Caribbeans: The Dutch island of #Saba with 33.4C just recorded its hottest June day in history and second hottest for any month of the year, after the records in Bonaire and Aruba. Nearly allover the Caribbeans temperatures are at record levels. Historic." (link)

"San Juan Puerto Rico had 3 consecutive Tmins of 82F/27.8C, tying the June highest Tmins on record.
Heat index locally >122F/50C! Santo Domingo also had record high Tmins >28C. Aruba (Dutch territory) 35.3C/95.5F had its hottest June day on records"

June 18 Iceland - "Exceptional warmth in #Iceland with temperatures near 28C for 2 days in a row, the highest ever recorded before the summer solstice. Several June records were broken including:
Hallormsstaður (POR 1937-).Egilsstaðir (1954-),Möðrudalur and 10 more with shorter PORs." (link)

June 17 India - "Eastern India is under one of the worst heat waves in its history: Not only daytime but night temperatures are setting records including in Kolkata.
Today Tmins were 32C/33C in many stations:Nellore didn't drop below 33.4C (0.2C from its highest Tmin)." (link)

June 5 India - "Record heat in Eastern India. The town of Imphal, the capital of the State of Manipur rose to 35.9C which is its hottest day in history. The all time record had been already tied few weeks ago.

June 10 Nepal - "Record heat wave in Nepal, with 2 stations recording their hottest days in climatic history:
  • 42.5C Janakpur (prev. 42.4C June 1998)
  • 32.5C Okhaldhunga (1720m asl) (prev. 31.2C June 2015).
Many others are close."

Antarctica June 3 - "Record warmth in Antartica winter ! While the Plateau is cooling fast, the Peninsula and islands lived record warm conditions: (link)

7.5C Carlini
7.4C Vernadsky - record
7.3C Juan Carlos I - record (short serie)
7.0C Palmer - record

Australia:

Tmin and Tmax deciles for Australia for June:



June 29: "More records of high temperatures in Australia: This months records heat were several dozens,while no long term records low have fallen yet despite a cold spell advancing. Today in  Queensland 32.0C at St Lawrence and at Proserpine, for both it's a new record high for June." (link)


June 28: "More summer warmth in this Australian winter: Queensland keeps beating records of high temperatures and today more records fell

32.0C Emerald

32.8C Blackall

Next day Northern Territory will be with an unusual cold spell and snow could fall in some mountain peaks. Very rare." (link)


June 27: "Australia still with abnormal warmth in the East with Tmins locally >25C and Tmaxes >35C and a cold snap in the West. Today Port Augusta Tmax 10.1C is the lowest on records for June.

Cold snap also in New Caledonia (French Territory): La Roche Tmin 6.2C  record low for June." (link)

June 26: "More extreme weather in #Australia: Full Summer temperatures in Queensland, records broken:

Highest Tmins

  • 25.5C Pirlangimpi and Fawcett
  • 25.0C Bradshaw
  • 24.3C Tindal

Highest Tmax

  • 35.3C Richmond 
  • 34.2C Winton 
  • 30.3C Gladstone.

While record heat is sweeping the East, a cold spell is ongoing in Western Australia with some records broken (but mostly short POR stations):

June Tmins:

  • 3.6C Gooseberry Hill
  • 1.9C BeIckley

Lowest June Tmax:

  • 8.5C Kalgoorlie AP (old observatory had lower Tmaxes)"

June 20: Severe cold spell in New South Wales in an area which has already seen 2 record cold and 2 record heat waves in few months!

Today some monthly records lows fell

-0.3C Paterson 
-5.1C Scone  
-8.5C Bathurst  (0.4C from all time low)
-2.8C Peak Hill 
-7.2C Lithgow 
-4.0C Hillston

June 18 - "Unusual winter warmth in #Tasmania. Yesterday some records for June were broken:

Highest Minimums
  • 13.9C Wynyard AP 
  • 14.1C Devonport AP (also for all Devonport area)

Highest Maximums
  • 19.2C Dover
  • 18.2C Cape Bruny (current location)
June 8 - "More and more records warmth in Australia.
16 more stations today set a record of highest Tmin. in June,including long POR stations like Gabo Island with 16.7C, Jabiru with 26.3C, Rutherglen with 14.0C and others. (see below)" (link)



June 7 - "More exceptional winter warmth in Australia. Records of highest Tmins for June fell in 5 different States today ! Most important ones include Jervois NT, Essendon and Ararat VIC.



June 6 - "Sharp contrasts today in #Australia.
Very hot in the East and North with temperatures up to 35.6C at Borroloola, which is a new record for June and cold and rainy weather in Western Australia:Dwellingup (POR 64 years) is currently having its lowest June Tmax. on records." 

"Very hot in the NT, with 34.8c at Bradshaw and Victoria River. Darwin at 34.1 (0.9c below June record).  Meanwhile, very cold and wet in SW WA with 15 coldest max temps records set. Dwellingup and Manjimup both at 8c (POR 64, 63 yrs)"


June 5 - "New day new records in #Australia. Very warm nights again in Queensland with the highest Min. temperatures on records for June:
17.8C Charleville
18C Cunnamulla

Several more records can fall next days with an abnormal warmth persisting in a huge area."


June 4 - "More record warmth in #Australia. The city of Adelaide has recorded a provisional Min temp of 17.9C, it's the highest Min ever recorded in June. More summery than wintry for sure. Cape Borda with 20.9C beat its June Tmax record again. More unusual warmth for next week." (link)


June 3: "Historic winter warmth in Australia with dozens of records beaten. Most important with long POR (link)
  • Moomba 30.8
  • P. Augusta 29.6
  • Yunat 26.0
  • Kadina 26.1 tie*
  • Cape Borda 20.8
  • Tibooburra 29.6
  • White Cliffs 29.5
  • Broken Hill 28.0
  • Ivanhoe 27.1
  • Condobolin 25.8
  • Forbes 24.5  *
  • Narrandera 23.7 *
"36 June max temp records fell today as the unusual heat continues. Todays records were confined to SA and NSW. Most were from new stations but there were standouts: Cobar MO 27c (POR 60yrs), Gunnedah RC 25c (POR 68yrs), Broken Hill 28c (POR 66yrs), Camden AWS 25c (POR 45yrs),"


June 2 - "May 2023 in #Australia was cold and had a temperature anomaly of 1.10C below the 1961-1990 (-1.6C vs 1991-2020). It was the 4th coldest on records in Northern Territories.
Autumn was cold and exceptionally dry: second driest autumn on records."

"Australia just had an exceptionally dry and cold end to autumn, registering its 2nd driest May in 124 years of records, and its coldest May since 1944 based on minimum temperatures."


June 1 - "Australia also started the month beating several records of highest temperatures for June,albeit most are with short POR. See list below. Dozens records are expected to fall in Australia next days in a extremely warm start of winter."




May Temperature anomaly


15 June - "Just in: May 2023 Globally, according to NASA, had a temperature anomaly of +0.37C above the 1991-2020 normal (+0.94C vs 1951-1980) and was the 3rd hottest May on records behind:
May 2020 (+0.45C)
May 2016  (+0.38C)

Canada was the most above average country,Nepal the most below." (link)
Note a cool anomaly over most of Australia for May.


"May 2023 Globally, according to JMA-Japanese Meteorological Agency, had a temperature anomaly of +0.39C above the 1991-2020 normal and was the WARMEST May on records ahead of 2016 and 2020 which were 0.08C cooler."



References:

WRI - Forest Pulse: The Latest on the World’s Forests (including 2022 data) https://research.wri.org/gfr/latest-analysis-deforestation-trends 

The Guardian, 27 June 2023, Destruction of world’s pristine rainforests soared in 2022 despite Cop26 pledge  https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/jun/27/destruction-of-worlds-pristine-rainforests-soared-in-2022-despite-cop26-pledge







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